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QBO validation

The connection of lunar forcing with cyclic phenomena such as QBO is an idea that needs lots of further consideration.

The recipe is to find the lunar forcing on the earth and then alias the forcing to a seasonal (yearly) period. This becomes the forcing for the QBO. The rationale is that the faster lunar cycles will not cause the stratospheric winds to change direction, but if these cycles are provoked with a seasonal peak in energy, then a longer-term m...

The period of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) of upper atmospheric winds is definitely driven by lunar forces. The aliasing of the Draconic and Tropical lunar months work together to create a time-series that matches the data back to 1953. And then this can be used to extrapolate to the equivalent tidal forces back to 1900.

http://contextearth.com/2015/10/09/qbo-is-a-lunar -solar-forced-system/

The research folks at NASA JPL had a propos...

On my earth sciences blog Context/Earth and at the collaborative science forum Azimuth Project, we are working on models for QBO and ENSO.

QBO is an oscillation in the stratospheric winds and is thought to be related to the same mechanisms as driving El Nino / ENSO.

After performing machine learning experiments on the data and applying conventional signal processing techniques, we have discovered that both QBO and ENSO have the same frequenc...

I am applying a transformation approach to model ENSO (and therefor El Nino + La Nina)


The model is RHS above. It is further described here: http://contextearth.com/2015/07/11/enso-transforma tion/

The wavelet scalogram data and model (horizontal axis is months since 1880)